::: TSR Weekly Report
2019-08-03 | NO.43(31) epaper |
Note to Readers
TSR is pleased to announce newly published books about Taiwan and East Asia on its website and in its weekly newsletter. If you're a scholar or your book is coming out from an academic press, please send the title of your book and a link to the publisher's web site to TSR's Senior Editor, James Lee (JL18@alumni.princeton.edu).
Cross-Strait Relations
 China to Conduct Military Drills in Waters Near Taiwan (2019-07-29)
(Reuters, By Staff Writer) China will be conducting military exercises in waters near Taiwan this week, according to China’s maritime safety agency. The announcement comes just days after China restated its willingness to go to war to prevent Taiwanese independence. China now regularly conducts what Beijing calls "island encirclement" drills and often sends warships into waters near Taiwan. <Accessed 2019-07-29>

Taiwan is Firing Off More than 100 Missiles as the Chinese Military Holds Drills Nearby  (2019-07-30)
(Business Insider, By Ryan Pickrell)
As China conducts military exercises at both ends of the Taiwan Strait, Taiwan has begun live-fire missile drills of its own. According to Taiwan’s Central News Agency, Taiwan’s drill, which began Monday, will include the launching of 117 missiles as well as F-6 fighter drills. Chinese military analysts revealed to the South China Morning Post that China’s drills are in response to U.S. Navy Taiwan Strait transits and the U.S.’s intended arms sale to Taiwan, which China strictly opposes. <Accessed 2019-07-30>

China Bans Individual Travelers from Visiting Taiwan (2019-07-31)
(CNA, By Miao Zong-han, Wang Shu-fen, Yeh Su-ping, and Joseph Yeh) China announced Wednesday that individual Chinese travelers will no longer be able to visit Taiwan beginning in August, only five months before Taiwan's 2020 presidential election. China stated that the decision was in response to current cross-strait relations. This is the first individual travel ban, although China has in the past restricted group travel to Taiwan prior to Taiwanese presidential elections. <Accessed 2019-08-01>

Taiwan's Office to Fiji Changes Name Due to Chinese Pressure (2019-07-31)
(CNA, By Elaine Hou and Joseph Yeh) Taiwan has changed the name of its representative office in Fiji in response to multiple requests from the Fijian government. Fiji requested that Taiwan remove the island's official name "Republic of China" from the office's title following pressure from China. As of this name change, none of Taiwan's overseas missions contain Taiwan's official name. <Accessed 2019-08-01>

China, an Eye on Elections, Suspends Some Travel Permits to Taiwan (2019-07-31)
(New York Times, By Chris Horton) The Chinese government announced on Wednesday that it would temporarily stop issuing individual travel permits to Taiwan, a move that appears intended to influence the politics of the self-governing island ahead of a coming election. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

Chinese Warship Collides with Taiwan Freight Vessel then Sails Away, Says Island’s Coastguard (2019-08-01)
(South China Morning Post, By Linda Lew) An unidentified Chinese military vessel collided with a Taiwanese container ship on Wednesday night and refused to stop after the accident, the island’s coastguard has said. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

Taiwanese Back Government Support for Hong Kong People: Survey (2019-08-01)
(CNA, By Emerson Lim) According to a survey commissioned by the Mainland Affairs Council (MAC), 64.7 percent of Taiwanese agree with the Taiwanese government's stance of supporting Hong Kong protesters in demanding freedom and human rights. The survey also found that 88.7 percent of respondents do not support the "one country, two systems" framework as the model for cross-strait relations, a jump of nearly 10 percent from a similar survey conducted in March. <Accessed 2019-08-04>

Taiwan Says a Chinese Warship Slammed Into One of its Cargo Ships and then Sailed Off Into the Night  (2019-08-02)
(Business Insider, By Ryan Pickrell)
Taiwan’s coast guard told local media Thursday that an unidentified People’s Liberation Army Navy warship collided with Taiwanese cargo ship Yutai No. 1, on which the crew was unharmed. The coast guard then searched for and found the Chinese vessel but were unable to make out the type of vessel or hull number before it returned to Xiamen port. The incident comes amid increasing Chinese military operations in the Taiwan Strait. <Accessed 2019-08-02>

Taiwan Slams China’s Decision to Freeze Individual Travel to Taiwan (2019-08-02)
(The Diplomat, By Nick Aspinwall)
Following Beijing’s sudden suspension of the program which allowed individual tourists from certain Chinese cities to visit Taiwan, President Tsai Ing-wen has responded criticizing the decision. Tsai and Foreign Minister Joseph Wu expressed their disappointment in the politically charged decision. While Beijing did not provide its reasoning, the suspension comes at a time of increasing cross-Strait tensions due to military exercises in the Taiwan Strait and the Tsai administration’s support of Hong Kong protestors. <Accessed 2019-08-02>
U.S.-Taiwan Relations
 California State Assembly Speaker, Delegation Visit Taiwan (2019-07-29)
(CNA, By Emerson Lim) California's State Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon and a delegation of legislative officials landed in Taiwan on Monday for a six-day visit. Rendon and the delegation are expected to meet with President Tsai, Deputy Legislative Speaker Tsai Chi-chang, and Foreign Minister Joseph Wu. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) welcomed Rendon and the rest of the delegation in a press release. <Accessed 2019-07-29>

Lawmakers Accuse Trump and Aides of Delaying F-16 Sales to Taiwan (2019-07-30)
(New York Times, By Edward Wong and Eric Schmitt) Lawmakers in Congress from both political parties have accused the Trump administration of delaying an $8 billion sale of F-16 fighter jets to Taiwan, the self-governing democratic island off the coast of China that is supported by the United States. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

US Administration Accused of Delaying F-16 Fighter Jets Sale to Taiwan (2019-07-31)
(The Diplomat, By Franz-Stefan Gady) The U.S. Congress said that the Trump White House for delaying the sales of F-16 fighter jets to Taiwan to avoid angering China as well as using it as a bargaining chip during trade talks between the U.S. and China. Michael Pillsbury, a senior adviser to Trump, remarked that the sale of the F-16 fighter jets to Taiwan has not gone through. <Accessed 2019-07-31>

Arms Sales and High-Level Visits Signal Closer U.S. Relations with Taiwan (2019-07-31)
(Jamestown Foundation, By John Dotson) Following the chill that settled into U.S.-Taiwan relations during the parallel George W. Bush / Chen Shui-Bian administrations, and an improved but still distant relationship between the Barack Obama / Ma Ying-Jeou administrations, the U.S.-Taiwan relationship is now the closest one seen in decades. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

AIT Celebrates Security Cooperation Month Amid Arms Negotiations (2019-08-01)
(CNA, By Emerson Lim) In commemoration of the fortieth year since the signing of the Taiwan Relations Act, the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) is celebrating a different aspect of US-Taiwan relations each month. August has been named the Security Cooperation Month and comes amid the recent US arms sales to Taiwan. The AIT will participate in events this August to commemorate the United States' and Taiwan's security relationship. <Accessed 2019-08-04>
Taiwan's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Taiwan Shaken by Concerns Over Chinese Influence in Media, Press Freedom (2019-07-28)
(The Diplomat, By Nick Aspinwall) Want Want China Times, a Taiwanese media group, which has been alleged to receive instructions from Chinese officials to influence Taiwanese media, is suing the Financial Times, Financial Times reporter Kathrin Hille and Taiwan's Central News Agency (CNA). Many have urged Taiwan's National Security Council (NSC) and National Security Bureau (NSB) to initiate steps to combat Chinese influence in Taiwan's media. <Accessed 2019-07-28>

Taiwan Reaffirms Ties with Solomon Islands Amid Doubts (2019-07-30)
(CNA, By Elaine Hou and Emerson Lim)
Ministry of Foreign Affairs Deputy Spokesperson Joanne Ou told reporters today that Taiwan’s diplomatic relations with the Solomon Islands are stable, despite a report by Solomon Islands’ newspaper The Island Sun claiming that China is ready to welcome the Solomon Islands as a diplomatic ally. The new Solomon Islands administration is currently re-evaluating its diplomatic relationship and will send a task force to visit both Taiwan and China as part of its assessment. <Accessed 2019-07-30>

Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je Stokes Speculation of Taiwan Presidential Run with Plan to Launch New Party (2019-08-01)
(South China Morning Post, By Sarah Zheng and Lawrence Chung) Taipei mayor Ko Wen-je is preparing to launch a new political party ahead of crucial presidential and legislative elections in Taiwan next year, fuelling speculation that the independent politician will enter the presidential race. <Accessed 2019-08-03>
U.S.-China Relations
US, China Revive Trade Talks with Low Hopes for Progress (2019-07-29)
(Associated Press, By Joe McDonald) The United States and China are resuming trade negotiations this week, with the US treasury secretary and US trade representative expected to meet a Chinese negotiation team in Shanghai on Tuesday and Wednesday. However, neither side expects a breakthrough as both nations still disagree on a range of issues, including intellectual property protection and the removal of tariffs. US-China tensions have also escalated in areas outside of trade in recent weeks. <Accessed 2019-07-29>

On Hong Kong, the US Must Find Its Voice (2019-07-30)
(Brookings, By Ryan Hass and Susan A. Thornton) Policymakers must think carefully about how the United States should respond to unfolding events. The measure of success is not projection of strength, but rather protection of American interests. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

Yesterday's Cold War Shows How to Beat China Today
(Foreign Policy, Stephen Walt) The United States could draw experience from its victory over the Soviet Union in guiding its foreign policy with China. There are five important lessons from the Cold War that the United States could learn from. While being powerful in international politics matters, it is equally crucial for the United States to maintain its popularity and being respected. <Accessed 2019-07-30>

Can the US-China Trade War be Resolved? (2019-07-30)
(The Diplomat, By Yukon Huang) The U.S. and China will resume trade negotiations in Shanghai this week. Both leaders are testing each side's intentions to reach a trade deal centered around China's willingness to buy more agriculture products and the United States' willingness to relax restrictions on Huawei's access to U.S. high-tech components. <Accessed 2019-07-30>

US Says Latest Trade Talks with China were 'Constructive' (2019-08-01)
(The Diplomat, By Dake Kang and Joe McDonald) White House spokeswoman Stephanie Grisham stated that the latest US-China trade talks were constructive and the next round of talks will resume in September. It was reported that China has confirmed its commitment to US President Donald Trump to buy more US agricultural exports. <Accessed 2019-08-01>

U.S. Ends Cold War Missile Treaty, With Aim of Countering China (2019-08-01)
(New York Times, By David E. Sanger and Edward Wong) The United States on Friday terminated a major treaty of the Cold War, the Intermediate Nuclear Forces agreement, and it is already planning to start testing a new class of missiles later this summer. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

Top U.S., China Diplomats Meet Amid Trade, Security Tensions (2019-08-01)
(Bloomberg, By Staff Writer) Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo met this Thursday on the sidelines of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) regional forum. The meeting comes amidst increasing tensions regarding trade, Hong Kong protests, the South China Sea, and Taiwan. One area of cooperation, however, is North Korean denuclearization, with Wang stating that Beijing supports future US-North Korea talks. <Accessed 2019-08-04>

China Shoots Back in Trump’s Trade War Escalation  (2019-08-02)
(Foreign Policy, By FP Editors)
China’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying spoke at a press conference Wednesday, during which she fired shots at the United States, accusing it of sparking the Hong Kong protests and flip-flopping in trade negotiations. She also answered questions about a variety of other topics, including North Korean missile tests, whether or not Canada will allow Huawei to participate in its 5G network buildup, U.S.-China people-to-people exchanges, and more. The transcript is available here. <Accessed 2019-08-02>

China Reacts to Trade Tariffs and Hong Kong Protests by Blaming U.S. (2019-08-02)
(New York Times, By Jane Perlez) Pointed hostility toward America, voiced by Chinese officials and state-run news organizations under the control of an all-powerful propaganda department, has escalated in recent weeks in tandem with two of China’s big problems: a slowing economy complicated by trade tensions and turbulence in Hong Kong that has no end in sight. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

US President Donald Trump Calls Protests ‘Riots’ and An Issue between Hong Kong and Beijing (2019-08-02)
(South China Morning Post, By Sarah Zheng and Jun Mai) US President Donald Trump has described recent protests in Hong Kong as “riots” that China would have to deal with itself, suggesting the United States would stay out of the biggest political crisis seen in the former British colony in decades. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

What's Trump's Plan with the Latest Tariffs on China? (2019-08-03)
(Foreign Policy, By Keith Johnson) After U.S. trade officials resumed trade talks with China in Shanghai, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that he would increase tariffs by 10 percent on $300 billion worth of Chinese goods. Consequently, global stock markets tumbled. China responded by vowing that it will not cave in to "maximum pressure, intimidation, or blackmail". <Accessed 2019-08-03>

Trump Hired Robert Lighthizer to Win a Trade War. He Lost (2019-08-03)
(Foreign Policy, By Edward Alden) The U.S. trade representative Robert Lighthizer's theory, that if the U.S. removed itself from the constraints of international trade rules, it could use the power of its large market to force other states to conform to its will, has failed after President Trump announced a new 10 percent tariffs on $300 billion worth of Chinese exports. Consequently, both countries are moving further away from a trade deal, making the trade wars more unpredictable. <Accessed 2019-08-03>
China's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Cambodia’s Electric Chinese Aid and Investment Affair (2019-07-27)
(East Asia Forum, By Shahar Hameiri) As the Cambodian example makes clear, the recipient, not just the investor, can have a considerable effect on the distribution of benefits and the outcomes of Chinese development financing and investment. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

Hong Kong's Summer of Discontent
(The Diplomat, By Eleanor Albert) While Hong Kong is no stranger to protest, this summer's protests in Hong Kong signal an increased of a sense of urgency among Hong Kongers who are furious with the Hong Kong government and greater Chinese influence in Hong Kong. While it is unlikely that Hong Kong authorities will seek military assistance from China, a possible intervention from China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) might not frustrate further protests. <Accessed 2019-07-28>

China Has Quietly Carved Out a Foothold in North Africa (2019-07-28)
(The Diplomat, By Karim Mezran and Daniel J. Samet) The international community should pay attention to the China-North Africa ties. A military installation in Algeria could threaten Western power-projection capabilities across the continent. Increasing Sino-North African ties could potentially jeopardize American and European relationships with these countries. <Accessed 2019-07-28>

Does China's 'Alliance Treaty' with North Korea Still Matter? (2019-07-28)
(The Diplomat, By Anny Boc) While North Korea praised its relationship with China in light of the 58th anniversary of the "alliance treaty", China remained silent over it. Reasons for China's silence are that North Korea is a sensitive topic in China and the "alliance treaty" is not in line with China's policy on nonalignment and independence. Nonetheless, the treaty remains important for China's geostrategic policy in the region. <Accessed 2019-07-28>

Why A New China Naval Outpost in Cambodia Would Matter (2019-07-28)
(The Diplomat, By Prashanth Parameswaran) Despite China and Cambodia denying the existence of a naval base in Cambodia, there are implications from an increased Chinese military presence in Cambodia. A Chinese naval outpost in Cambodia could potentially affect the balance of power in Southeast Asai and the Indo-Pacific region. Such naval outpost could symbolize further development of Chinese security partnerships in Southeast Asia. <Accessed 2019-07-28>

Cambodia Says to Increase Arms Purchases from China (2019-07-29)
(Reuters, By Prak Chan Thul) Cambodia's prime minister announced Monday that the nation would purchase 40 million USD worth of weapons from China in an attempt to modernize Cambodia's military. The prime minister also dismissed allegations from the United States and the Wall Street Journal that Cambodia is allowing China to station troops at one of its naval ports. <Accessed 2019-07-29>

China Backs Hong Kong Officials, but Leaves Protests for Them to Solve (2019-07-29)
(New York Times, By Chris Buckley and Austin Ramzy) The Chinese government on Monday laid down its firm support of Hong Kong’s embattled leader and police force but failed to offer any clear solutions after two months of rolling protests that have flared into violence and stoked opposition to Chinese rule. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

How China Lost Hong Kong (2019-07-30)
(Foreign Policy, By Antony Dapiran) From cries and chantings against the controversial extradition bill, Hong Kong protesters are now chanting "Reclaim Hong Kong! Revolution of our time!" slogans. More and more Hong Kong citizens are identifying themselves as Hong Kongers instead of Chinese. If China wishes to win Hong Kongers' confidence, it should initiate steps to facilitate greater political participation and guarantee the people's democratic rights and autonomy. <Accessed 2019-07-30>

Beijing is Weaponizing Nationalism Against Hong Kongers (2019-07-30)
(Foreign Policy, By Andreas Fulda) While it would appear unlikely that the Hong Kong government would seek the People's Liberation Army (PLA) to quash Hong Kong's recent uprising, however, these protests have resulted in the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) using nationalism against Hong Kongers. The intraethnic conflict between mainland Chinese and Hong Kongers could spread to places with Chinese diaspora members. <Accessed 2019-07-30>

China's New Defense White Paper: Reading Between the Lines (2019-07-30)
(The Diplomat, By Ben Lowsen) On China's latest Defense White Paper, its key points are that its national defense policy is purely "defensive" and its defense expenditures "actively serve to establish a Community of Shared Human Destiny". According to the White Paper, China intends to pursue peace and it is the United States that is disturbing international harmony. <Accessed 2019-07-30>

Major Themes in China’s 2019 National Defense White Paper (2019-07-31)
(Jamestown Foundation, By Elsa Kania and Peter Wood) At a time when U.S. strategy is highlighting a new era of great power rivalry, the 2019 NDWP may appear at first glance to present a much more conciliatory perspective. However, the intention to “reform” the system of global governance and create a new security architecture revealed in the document are nonetheless concerning. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

China's Evolving Strategy for WTO Reforms (2019-07-31)
(The Diplomat, By Antara Ghosal Singh) China is looking to explore several new strategies for the WTO reforms. Among some of the strategies featured in China's reform strategy are forming alliances within the WTO, demonstrate flexibility as and when required and focus on reforms pertaining to transparency and routine work. <Accessed 2019-07-31>

Is the Greater Bay Area China's Future? (2019-08-01)
(The Diplomat, By Dingding Chen and Tiffany Chen) The global community is still anticipating whether China can successfully realize its ambitious economic entity the Greater Bay Area. While including most of the major sectors of the modern industrial system, the Greater Bay Area also faces several challenges. <Accessed 2019-08-01>

Lost in Translation: The Hong Kong Government's Dual Messaging Amid Protests (2019-08-01)
(The Diplomat, By Kai Yui Samuel Chan and Elizabeth Lui) Despite Hong Kong's Chief Executive Carrie Lam announcing that the controversial extradition bill was "dead", Hong Kong activists continue to express anger and frustration over the choice of Lam's words. They continue to insist for a "withdrawal" of the extradition bill. It is important for the international community to pay attention to the linguistic nuances used by China to shape international discourse. <Accessed 2019-08-01>

Beijing Calls On Tokyo and Seoul to Ease Trade Dispute through Dialogue (2019-08-02)
(South China Morning Post, By Lee Jeong-ho) Beijing on Friday urged Tokyo and Seoul to ease their dispute through dialogue, after Japan said it would remove South Korea from its list of trusted trade partners. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

Hong Kong Protesters Occupy Shopping District, Defying Authorities (2019-08-03)
(New York Times, By Mike Ives and Ezra Cheung) Thousands of antigovernment demonstrators in Hong Kong occupied a major downtown shopping district and briefly blocked the exit of a tunnel under the city’s harbor on Saturday, as demonstrations continued despite recent signs that the authorities were taking an increasingly hard line against the unrest. <Accessed 2019-08-03>
Territorial Disputes, the Korean Peninsula, and Other Regional Issues
A Thucydides Fallacy: The New Model of Power Relations for Southeast Asia, the US, and China (2019-07-28)
(The Diplomat, By Danny Quah) American scholar and Asia observer Bonnie Glaser drew a future of choosing between a rules-based international order and one that adheres to an arbitrary exercise of power. However, Southeast Asian states could learn that they could impact outcomes for world order, with a new world order where Asia becomes an "articulated and empowered consumer". <Accessed 2019-07-28>

China-Singapore Military ties in Focus with Army Exercise (2019-07-30)
(The Diplomat, By Prashanth Parameswaran) China and Singapore have initiated the latest iteration of Exercise Cooperation, a bilateral army exercise between them. According to Singapore's defense ministry (MINDEF), the exercise will include a range of interactions, including professional and cultural exchanges and tactical training. <Accessed 2019-07-30>

Dear China, We Have to Talk About Your Nukes (2019-07-31)
(Foreign Policy, By Robert A. Manning) U.S. President Donald Trump has called to extend the New START agreement with Russia as well as bringing China into the trilateral nuclear diplomacy. Trump could take advantage of New START to coax China's participation with a trialogue that seeks to create a strategic framework to manage new and emerging threats to crisis stability. <Accessed 2019-07-31>

Philippines Protests 'Swarming' of More Than 100 Chinese Vessels (2019-07-31)
(Al Jazeera, By Staff Writer) More than one-hundred Chinese fishing vessels were spotted near the Philippine-governed island of Pag-asa in the South China Sea, according to the Philippines' national security adviser. The Philippines' foreign affairs secretary made a "diplomatic protest" against China in response to the incident. Fishing boats near Filipino-administered territory is only one of multiple recent incidents involving Chinese-Filipino clashes over disputed South China Sea territory. <Accessed 2019-08-01>

The Asian Century is Over (2019-08-01)
(Foreign Policy, By Michael Auslin) The "Asian Century" could be ending sooner than predicted and the future will not be Asian. Asian countries are experiencing economic travails and facing political troubles. The U.S. could play a crucial role in shaping Asia's future, one that is open and stable. <Accessed 2019-08-01>

Putin and Xi's Buddy Act Could Blow Up East Asia (2019-08-01)
(Foreign Policy, By Katie Stallard-Blanchette) Japan and South Korea scrambled fighter jets in response to China and Russia's first joint long-range patrol. The significance of this midair confrontation is the strengthening of China-Russia relations economically and militarily and the possibility of more future joint patrols. <Accessed 2019-08-01>

What's Next for The South China Sea? (2019-08-02)
(The Diplomat, By Wu Shicun) The South China Sea's current situation has become more peaceful and stable due to the joint efforts and progress made by China and the ASEAN states. However, there are still challenges and uncertainties to the region's peace and stability. For instance, some ASEAN states initiate unilateral actions to strengthen control over relevant features and the Philippines continue to face domestic pressure to use the 2016 arbitral award in dealing with the South China Sea disputes with China. <Accessed 2019-08-02>

Historic Arms Control Treaty Ends with Washington and Moscow Blaming Each Other (2019-08-02)
(National Public Radio, By Sasha Ingber)
The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty) officially collapsed Friday, with both Russia and the United States assigning blame to the other. The treaty has ended after months of the U.S. and NATO accusing Russia of failing to comply with the treaty and Russia denying that it had breached the treaty. <Accessed 2019-08-02>

How Boris Johnson will Approach UK-China Relations (2019-08-03)
(The Diplomat, By Bonnie Girard) The new British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is taking a different approach to doing business with China despite being hailed as a doppelganger of U.S. President Donald Trump. While Trump views the Chinese government in a negative light, Johnson has expressed interests in China's Belt and Road Initiative. <Accessed 2019-08-03>

Esper: US to Soon Put Intermediate Range Missile in Asia (2019-08-03)
(Associated Press, By Baldor) US Defense Secretary Mark Esper has stated that he wants to deploy intermediate-range missiles in the Pacific in the coming months. The comment comes after the U.S.-Russia Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, which banned the use and deployment of intermediate-range ballistic missiles, expired this Friday. Esper downplayed any potential backlash from China that such a deployment in the region would generate. <Accessed 2019-08-04>

Contact: James Lee, Senior Editor 

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Recent Publication Kerry Gershaneck, "To Win without Fighting: Defining China's Political Warfare" (Expeditions with Marine Corps University Press)
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