::: TSR Weekly Report
2021-10-02 | NO.45(40) epaper |
Recent Publication
Gunter Schubert and Chun-yi Lee (eds.), Taiwan During the First Administration of Tsai Ing-wen: Navigating in Stormy Waters (Routledge) 
Cross-Strait Relations
China Vows to Keep Taiwan Out of Pacific Rim Trade Group (2021-09-29)
(Associated Press) Beijing said Wednesday it will block Taiwan’s application to join a Pacific Rim trade initiative, citing as its reason the island’s refusal to concede that it is a part of China. The Cabinet’s Taiwan Affairs Office on Wednesday said Taiwan’s participation in regional trade cooperation is based on the “one China principle.”

Taiwan to Raise Trade Concerns with WTO Over China Import Suspension (2021-10-01)
(CNA, By Lin Yu-hsuan and James Lo) The Cabinet-level Council of Agriculture (COA) on Friday sent documents to Taiwan's World Trade Organization (WTO) mission as it prepares to file "specific trade concerns" in November over China's move to suspend imports of wax apples and custard apples from Taiwan.

Taiwan Questions China's Suitability for Pacific Trade Pact, Fears 'Obstruction' (2021-10-01)
(Reuters, By Ben Blanchard, Yimou Lee, and Jeanny Kao) China's restrictive practices present fundamental problems for its application to join a major pan-Pacific free trade pact, and if it joins before Taiwan there is a risk it could block their application, the island's economy minister said.
Taiwan's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Taiwan's Domestic Politics
Eric Chu Wins KMT Chair Election (2021-09-27)
(The Diplomat, By Brian Hioe) KMT stalwart Chu won handily in the end, but the challenge posed by deep-Blue candidate Chang Ya-chung is notable.

New KMT Chief Eric Chu Reiterates 1992 Consensus for Ties with China
(CNA, By Liu Kuan-ting, Yeh Su-ping and Evelyn Kao) Newly elected opposition Kuomintang (KMT) Chairman Eric Chu (朱立倫) expressed hope Sunday that exchanges and cooperation between his party and the Communist Party of China (CPC) will be fortified on the basis of the "1992 consensus."

Where Does the KMT Go From Here? (2021-09-27)
(The Diplomat, By Brian Hioe) The results of the chair election set the future trajectory for the party – and for Taiwan’s democracy.

Taiwan's Foreign Relations 
Nicaragua Speaks Up for Taiwan at UN Assembly (2021-09-29)
(Taipei Times/CNA) Nicaragua was the 13th of Taiwan’s 15 diplomatic allies in the UN to voice support for the nation’s inclusion in the organization during the UN General Assembly’s 76th session in New York.

Lithuania Passes Law, Giving Green Light to Open Taiwan Office (2021-10-01)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu, Chung Yu-chen, and Frances Huang) Lithuania's parliament on Thursday passed a legal revision that gave the green light to the country to open a representative office in a country like Taiwan with which the Baltic state does not have formal diplomatic relations.

13 of 15 Diplomatic Allies Voice Support for Taiwan at U.N. (2021-09-28)
(CNA, By Ozzy Yin and Joseph Yeh) Nicaragua's foreign minister has spoken up in support of Taiwan's inclusion in the United Nations system on the last day of the general debate Monday, the 13th and final diplomatic ally of Taiwan to do so at this year's U.N. General Assembly.
U.S.-China Relations
Biden, You Should Be Aware That Your Submarine Deal Has Costs (2021-09-30)
(New York Times, By Adam Mount and Van Jackson) This is a hallmark of great power competition: Competitive initiatives like AUKUS provide visible ways to counter or balance or complicate China’s military activities but don’t necessarily help allies meet defined objectives. More often, competition becomes an end in itself — an open-ended imperative that assumes everything an opponent dislikes must be good policy.

American Siblings Barred from Leaving China for 3 Years Return to U.S.
(New York Times, By Michael Forsythe, Chris Buckley, and Katie Benner) China has allowed two American siblings who were barred from leaving the country for more than three years to return to the United States, after a Justice Department deal that cleared the way for a senior executive of Huawei Technologies to go back to China, their lawyer said Monday.

China Is a Declining Power—and That’s the Problem (2021-09-24)
(Foreign Policy, By Hal Brands and Michael Beckley) If a rapid rise gives countries the means to act boldly, the fear of decline serves up a powerful motive for rasher, more urgent expansion. The same thing often happens when fast-rising powers cause their own containment by a hostile coalition. In fact, some of history’s most gruesome wars have come when revisionist powers concluded their path to glory was about to be blocked.
China's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
China's Domestic Politics
How China Plans to Avert an Evergrande Financial Crisis (2021-09-26)
(New York Times, By Keith Bradsher) Control of the banking system gives Beijing the tools to stop a broader collapse, officials believe, while censorship and police powers can stifle protests.

China and Evergrande Ascended Together. Now One Is About to Fall (2021-09-28)
(New York Times, By Alexandra Stevenson, Michael Forsythe and Cao Li) Evergrande’s struggles have exposed the flaws of the Chinese financial system — unrestrained borrowing, expansion and corruption. The company’s crisis is testing the resolve of Chinese leaders’ efforts to reform as they chart a new course for the country’s economy.

Evergrande Is a Convenient Villain for Xi
(Foreign Policy, By Richard McGregor) Chinese growth has been slowing for years, and the country faces a demographic crunch. Even if Evergrande isn’t a Lehman Brothers moment, it symbolizes the start of a wrenching adjustment for the Chinese economy.

China Appoints New Xinjiang Governor Amid Abuse Accusations (2021-10-01)
(Associated Press) China has appointed a new governor for Xinjiang where the ruling Communist Party is accused of carrying out mass detentions and other abuses against members of the Uyghur and other Muslim minority groups.

China's Foreign Relations 
Beijing Suffers Major Loss from Its Hostage Diplomacy (2021-09-29)
(CSIS, By Scott Kennedy) Some observers believe the Biden administration broke under extended pressure from Beijing and finally gave in, handing China a major victory and reinforcing its penchant for intimidation and the use of coercive tools. In actuality, it was Beijing who caved and comes out far and away the biggest loser from its ill-fated resort to unscrupulous intimidation.

Western Expats Are No Longer Safe in China
(Foreign Policy, By Elisabeth Braw) Beijing’s swift release of two Canadians held on trumped-up charges confirms that Xi Jinping is prepared to stoop to the level of late Libyan dictator Muammar al-Qaddafi and engage in hostage diplomacy.

Another Win for China’s Hostage Diplomacy (2021-09-28)
(Foreign Policy, By James Palmer) A yearslong diplomatic dispute between China and the West has finally ended.

Lithuania vs. China: A Baltic Minnow Defies a Rising Superpower (2021-09-30)
(New York Times, By Andrew Higgins) Lithuania has proved that even tiny countries can create headaches for a superpower, especially one like China whose diplomats seem determined to make other nations toe their line. Indeed, Lithuania, which does little trade with China, has caused enough of a stink that its fellow members in the European Union are expected to discuss the situation at a meeting next week. Nothing could be worse for Beijing than if other countries followed Lithuania’s example.

China Is Choking Civil Society at the United Nations (2021-09-27)
(Foreign Policy, By Rana Siu Inboden) China is the most active country in stalling NGO applications at the United Nations, even if the organizations engage in the most innocuous and uncontroversial activities. China is not content to control civil society within its own borders. Given the role of NGOs in advancing human rights globally and drawing attention to China’s human rights crimes, Beijing is working hard to shrink the space for these groups internationally.
Military Balance
British Warship Passing Through Taiwan Strait (2021-09-27)
(CNA, By Matt Yu and Joseph Yeh) British Royal Navy warship HMS Richmond was passing through the Taiwan Strait on Monday morning, according to a tweet from the frigate.

Taiwan's Military Reverses Course on Conscript Training (2021-09-27)
(CNA, By Matt Yu and Joseph Yeh) Monday's announcement meant that starting this month, conscripts will be assigned to field units after completing their basic training to better familiarize themselves with field unit operations and make them combat-ready.

Ministry, AIT Ink Deal to Maintain PAC-3 Missiles
(Taipei Times, By Lo Tien-pin and Jonathan Chin) The Ministry of National Defense and the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) have inked a deal to maintain ground support equipment for US-made Patriot Advanced Capability-3 (PAC-3) missiles, as well as other missiles in Taiwan.

China Unveils New Drones, Fighter Jets with Eye on Taipei (2021-09-29)
(Taipei Times/AFP) China yesterday showed off its increasingly sophisticated air power, including surveillance drones, with an eye on disputed territories from Taiwan to the South China Sea and its rivalry with the US. The nation’s biggest airshow, in the southern coastal city of Zhuhai, comes as Beijing pushes to meet a 2035 deadline to retool its military for modern warfare.

Two Chinese Military Turboprops Enter Taiwan’s ADIZ (2021-09-29)
(Taiwan News, By Eric Chang) Two Chinese military aircraft entered Taiwan’s air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on Tuesday (Sept. 28), marking the 25th intrusion this month.

China Sends 38 Fighter Planes toward Taiwan on National Day (2021-10-01)
(Associated Press) The People’s Liberation Army flew 25 fighter jets Friday in the first maneuver, then sent an additional 13 planes that night. Taiwan deployed air patrol forces in response and tracked the Chinese aircraft on its air defense systems, the island’s Defense Ministry said in a statement.

Chinese Military Planes Enter Taiwan's ADIZ for 11th Consecutive Day (2021-10-02)
(CNA, By Chung Yu-chen and Ko Lin) A fleet of 20 Chinese military aircraft flew into Taiwan's southwestern air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on Saturday, marking the 11th consecutive day of such intrusions since Sept. 22, according to the Ministry of National Defense (MND).

U.S. Capable of 'Tamping Down' Potential China Invasion of Taiwan: U.S. Official (2021-10-02)
(CNA, By Chiang Chin-yeh and Frances Huang) Kathleen Hicks, Deputy Defense Secretary of the United States, said on Friday that her country has the capability of "tamping down" China's potential invasion of Taiwan.
Regional Issues
Ex-Diplomat Kishida Wins Japan Party Vote, to Become New PM (2021-09-29)
(Associated Press, By Mari Yamaguchi) Former Japanese Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida won the governing party’s leadership election on Wednesday and is set to become the next prime minister, facing the tasks of reviving a pandemic-hit economy and ensuring a strong alliance with Washington to counter growing regional security risks.

Australia Took On China. Did It Get It Right? (2021-09-27)
(New York Times, By Chris Buckley and Damien Cave) The rising concern about Beijing’s political influence fed suspicions that politicians, business executives, academics and above all members of Australia’s large ethnic Chinese population had been co-opted.

Kim Jong Un Decides to Restore Inter-Korean Communication Lines (2021-09-30)
(The Diplomat, By Mitch Shin) The North Korean leader said the inter-Korean hotlines will be restored in early October, but also warned against the arms buildup of South Korea and the U.S.

Why BRICS Still Matters (2021-09-27)
(Foreign Policy, By Manjari Chatterjee Miller) BRICS may be a young institution, but it shouldn’t be underestimated.

The US Cooperates With Russia in Space. Why Not China? (2021-09-30)
(The Diplomat, By Adam Gadd) Russia-U.S. cooperation in space shows that the China exclusion policy is motivated less by security risks than by a U.S. fear of losing its leadership position.

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Recent Publication Gunter Schubert and Chun-yi Lee (eds.), Taiwan During the First Administration of Tsai Ing-wen: Navigating in Stormy Waters (Routledge)
Recent Publication Shelly Rigger, The Tiger Leading the Dragon: How Taiwan Propelled China's Economic Rise (Rowman & Littlefield)
Recent Publication June Teufel Dreyer, Jacques deLisle (eds.), Taiwan in the Era of Tsai Ing-wen: Changes and Challenges (Routledge)
Recent Publication Joseph Fewsmith, Rethinking Chinese Politics (Cambridge University Press)
Recent Publication M. Taylor Fravel, Active Defense: China's Military Strategy Since 1949 (Princeton University Press) (Podcast Discussion)
Recent Publication Mariah Thornton, Robert Ash, and Dafydd Fell, Taiwan's Economic and Diplomatic Challenges and Opportunities (Routledge)
Recent Publication Richard C. Bush, Difficult Choices: Taiwan's Quest for Security and the Good Life (Brookings Institution Press)
Recent Publication Lowell Dittmer, China's Political Economy in the Xi Jinping Epoch: Domestic and Global Dimensions (World Scientific)
Recent Publication Kingsley Edney, Stanley Rosen, and Ying Zhu, Soft Power With Chinese Characteristics: China’s Campaign for Hearts and Minds (1st Edition) (Routledge) (Book Review)
TSR received a favorable review by the Foreign Affairs (July/Aug 2000)
The Best of Asia-Pacific Web Award
TSR was honored with a Four-Star rating by the Asian Studies WWW Virtual Library. 

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